13.02.13
Future demand could require 90% increase in electric fleet
A group of rail industry experts has published a forecast for the potential requirement for rolling stock over the next 30 years.
The Passenger Rolling Stock Strategy sets out a range of scenarios for the future size and type of fleet that will be required across the network.
There could be demand for between 13,000 and 19,000 new electric vehicles by 2042, compared to around 8,500 electric vehicles today. This would increase the proportion of fleet made up of electric vehicles from 68% to 90%. The increase in non-electric vehicles could be between 400 and 800.
The group, which has set out the strategy consists of ATOC, the three ROSCOs – Angel Trains, Eversholt Rail Group and Porterbrook Leasing – and Network Rail, and is chaired by Richard Brown.
Michael Roberts, chief executive of ATOC, said: “The boom in passenger journeys heralds a bright future for the railways. A long-term rolling stock strategy helps the industry prepare for that future and underpins franchising as the best way to drive efficient delivery of fleet which meets passengers’ needs.”
Malcolm Brown, CEO of Angel Trains, on behalf of the three rolling stock companies involved with the report, said: “Rightly, the three rolling stock companies have been a corner stone in the development of the strategy to meet passenger demands for the next 30 years.
“The businesses will actively compete with each other to invest in existing and new rolling stock, having already secured over £10 billion of investment since rail privatisation. This will ensure the UK has one of the youngest train fleets in Europe.”
Paul Plummer, Network Rail group strategy director, said: “This strategy marks the first time that the long-term rolling stock implications of passenger growth and infrastructure upgrades such as electrification and HS2 have been modelled and considered together.
“Our investment programme will increase capacity on some of the busiest part of the network, enabling more people than ever before to travel by train. The approach set out in this strategy will ensure the industry works together to deliver a bigger and better value railway for Britain.”
For more on the Passenger Rolling Stock Strategy, see the Feb/March edition of RTM.
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